La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Jun 16, 2020 at 9pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
2 - 0
Leganes

Fati (42'), Messi (69' pen.)
Umtiti (83'), Puig Marti (84'), Lenglet (84'), Firpo (89'), Rakitic (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bustinza (37'), Perez (68'), Awaziem (82')
Silva (90+5')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 80.63%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 6.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Leganes
80.63%	12.78%	6.59%

Both teams to score 45.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26%

33.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.41%

55.59%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.56%

6.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.88%

24.12%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.85%

51.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.56%

85.44%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 80.62%

Leganes 6.59%

Draw 12.78%

Barcelona	Draw	Leganes
2-0 @ 12.39% 3-0 @ 11.33% 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.31% 4-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 7.6% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 4.26% 5-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.55% 6-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.75% 6-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.35% Total : 80.62%	1-1 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 3.3% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.64% Total : 12.78%	0-1 @ 2.21% 1-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.59%