Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 57.7% | 22.96% | 19.33% |
| Both teams to score 50.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% | 16.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% | 46.27% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% | 39.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% | 75.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.9% 4-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.05% Total : 57.69% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.33% |