Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Leganes |
| 40.33% | 29.5% | 30.17% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.71% | 83.29% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% | 38.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% | 74.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.78% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.65% Total : 30.16% |