Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 35.94% | 28.19% | 35.88% |
| Both teams to score 47.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% | 79.42% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% | 31.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.88% |