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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Cadiz logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Cadiz


Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
36.8%29.9%33.29%
Both teams to score 42.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.12%64.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.19%83.8%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24%33.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58%70.42%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84%36.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06%72.94%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 36.8%
    Cadiz 33.28%
    Draw 29.89%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.8%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.2%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.89%
0-1 @ 12.41%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 33.28%