Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
| 36.8% | 29.9% | 33.29% |
| Both teams to score 42.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.19% | 83.8% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% | 33.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% | 70.42% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% | 72.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.2% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.96% Total : 33.28% |