La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 5, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 0
Real Valladolid

Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
65.25%	21.68%	13.07%

Both teams to score 41.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.2%

53.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73%

75.27%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18%

15.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01%

44.99%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.27%

50.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.84%

85.15%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 65.24%

Real Valladolid 13.07%

Draw 21.68%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.24%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.68%	0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.36% Total : 13.07%