La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 12, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Atletico

Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Dani Carvajal celebrates with Sergio Ramos after Atletico Madrid's Jan Oblak scored an own goal in La Liga on December 12, 2020

Zinedine Zidane delighted with win over Atletico Madrid

Los Blancos pulled within three points of the LaLiga leaders with a 2-0 victory.

Dec 13, 09:16

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
48.27%	25.13%	26.6%

Both teams to score 52.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95%

50.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97%

72.03%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24%

20.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.6%

53.39%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7%

33.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09%

69.91%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 48.26%

Atletico Madrid 26.6%

Draw 25.13%

Real Madrid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.6%