Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 21.29% | 25.05% | 53.66% |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% | 40.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.92% | 77.08% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% | 20.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% | 52.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.29% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.66% |