La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Dec 15, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Kroos (45+1'), Benzema (74', 90+2')
Vazquez (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Capa (52')
Garcia (8'), Alvarez (80')
Garcia (13')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
60.63%	22.41%	16.96%

Both teams to score 48.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28%

49.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27%

71.73%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04%

15.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74%

45.25%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.29%

42.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.96%

79.04%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 60.62%

Athletic Bilbao 16.96%

Draw 22.41%

Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 60.62%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.41%	0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.96%