Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 36.34% | 25.97% | 37.7% |
| Both teams to score 54.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% | 50.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% | 72.01% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% | 26.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% | 61.91% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% | 60.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.7% |