Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
| 21.33% | 26.37% | 52.3% |
| Both teams to score 43.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% | 79.42% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.63% | 79.38% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% | 22.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% | 56.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.07% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 14.5% 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-3 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.29% |