Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
21.33% | 26.37% | 52.3% |
Both teams to score 43.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% | 79.42% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.9% | 43.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.63% | 79.38% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% | 22.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% | 56.34% |
Score Analysis |
Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.07% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 14.5% 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-3 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |