La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Real Sociedad

Junior (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Portu (55')
Gorosabel (76')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring against Real Sociedad in La Liga on March 1, 2021

Vinicius Junior "delighted" to mark 100th Real Madrid game with a goal

The Brazilian substitute salvaged a point for Real Madrid by firing home from close range in the 89th minute.

Mar 2, 07:21

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
49.1%	25.68%	25.22%

Both teams to score 50.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.8%

53.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23%

74.76%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.83%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86%

36.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07%

72.92%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 49.09%

Real Sociedad 25.22%

Draw 25.67%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.22%