La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')

Reaction

Karim Benzema celebrates scoring for Real Madrid against Alaves on January 23, 2021

David Bettoni hails Real Madrid performance against Alaves

Three days on from the embarrassing loss to third-tier Alcoyano, Real bounced back with three points at Alaves.

Jan 24, 08:52

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Madrid
6.18%	15.13%	78.69%

Both teams to score 34.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.97%

47.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73%

69.27%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.49%

61.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.6%

91.4%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08%

9.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.16%

32.84%

Score Analysis

Alaves 6.18%

Real Madrid 78.66%

Draw 15.13%

Alaves	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 2.97% 2-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 1.55% Total : 6.18%	1-1 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.13%	0-2 @ 16.28% 0-1 @ 14.09% 0-3 @ 12.54% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-4 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 6.1% 1-4 @ 3.52% 0-5 @ 3.35% 1-5 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-6 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.21% Total : 78.66%