La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')

Reaction

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured on January 2, 2021

Zinedine Zidane delighted with performance against Celta Vigo

Los Blancos move one point clear of Atletico Madrid, but their city rivals have three games in hand and could return to the summit on Sunday.

Jan 3, 09:16

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
66.77%	19.98%	13.25%

Both teams to score 46.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34%

46.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07%

68.93%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94%

13.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.36%

39.63%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.96%

46.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.25%

81.75%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 66.76%

Celta Vigo 13.25%

Draw 19.98%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-0 @ 12.45% 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.56% 4-0 @ 4.3% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.81% Total : 66.76%	1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.98%	0-1 @ 4.66% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 0.97% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.25%