Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 37.75% | 29.53% | 32.72% |
| Both teams to score 43.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.24% | 63.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.98% | 83.02% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% | 69.11% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% | 35.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% | 72.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2% Total : 32.72% |