Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 27.09% | 28.32% | 44.58% |
| Both teams to score 44.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% | 61.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% | 81.36% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% | 75.82% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% | 27.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% | 63.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.49% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 13.88% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.24% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.75% Total : 44.58% |