Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 45.21% | 28.77% | 26.01% |
| Both teams to score 42.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.21% | 82.78% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% | 28.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% | 63.79% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% | 41.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% | 77.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.01% |