Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 56.59% | 26.46% | 16.95% |
| Both teams to score 37.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.33% | 63.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.05% | 82.95% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.94% | 51.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.62% | 85.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 17.22% 2-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.2% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.58% | 0-0 @ 11.67% 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.34% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 2.58% Total : 16.95% |