La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK

Martinez Valero

Elche
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Fidel (52' pen.)
Gonzalo (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Modric (20')
Ramos (21'), Casemiro (60'), Carvajal (66'), Kroos (71')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.99%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
10.31%	17.71%	71.98%

Both teams to score 44.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77%

44.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39%

66.62%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.38%

49.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.6%

84.4%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.09%

10.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.91%

35.09%

Score Analysis

Elche 10.31%

Real Madrid 71.97%

Draw 17.71%

Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 3.8% 2-1 @ 2.95% 2-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.31%	1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.71%	0-2 @ 13.28% 0-1 @ 11.99% 0-3 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-4 @ 5.43% 1-4 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.97%