Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
| 61.8% | 22.2% | 16% |
| Both teams to score 46.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% | 50.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% | 15.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% | 45.01% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.59% | 44.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% | 80.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.48% Total : 16% |