Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Osasuna |
| 21.69% | 26.63% | 51.67% |
| Both teams to score 43.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% | 79.86% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% | 43.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% | 79.33% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% | 23.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-1 @ 5.18% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.06% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 14.59% 0-2 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.67% |