La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 19, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 2
Sevilla

Mendez (12')
Lejeune (48'), Mendez (56'), Pons (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

En-Nesyri (3'), Suso (30')
En-Nesyri (81'), Bono (89'), Navas (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (17.31%) and 0-3 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.02%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
7.98%	20.1%	71.91%

Both teams to score 30.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4%

59.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06%

79.94%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.7%

64.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.31%

92.7%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.41%

15.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.43%

44.57%

Score Analysis

Alaves 7.98%

Sevilla 71.91%

Draw 20.1%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 4.43% 2-1 @ 1.82% 2-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.76% Total : 7.98%	0-0 @ 10.02% 1-1 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.1%	0-1 @ 18.63% 0-2 @ 17.31% 0-3 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-4 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 4.74% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-5 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.78% Total : 71.91%

How you voted: Alaves vs Sevilla

Alaves

9.0%

Draw

12.4%

Sevilla

78.7%