Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 11.72% | 19.15% | 69.12% |
| Both teams to score 45.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% | 46.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.41% | 48.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.34% | 83.66% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% | 12.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% | 38.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.35% 2-1 @ 3.28% 2-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.53% Total : 11.73% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.15% | 0-2 @ 13.12% 0-1 @ 12.57% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.6% 0-4 @ 4.77% 1-4 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-5 @ 1.99% 1-5 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.95% Total : 69.11% |