Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 38.47% | 28.98% | 32.55% |
| Both teams to score 44.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38% | 61.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% | 81.73% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% | 31.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% | 67.56% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% | 35.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% | 71.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.54% |