Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 30.78% | 29.09% | 40.13% |
| Both teams to score 43.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.75% | 82.25% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% | 36.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% | 66.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 0.92% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.12% |