Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 61.08% | 22.65% | 16.27% |
| Both teams to score 46.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% | 16.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% | 46.28% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% | 44.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% | 80.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 5.78% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.81% Total : 61.07% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.27% |