La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Sep 27, 2020 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
4 - 0
Villarreal

Fati (15', 19'), Messi (35' pen.), Torres (45' og.)

FT(HT: 4-0)

Moreno (83')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Villarreal
65.81%	19.72%	14.47%

Both teams to score 51.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09%

42.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69%

65.31%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.8%

12.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.13%

37.86%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.11%

41.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66%

78.33%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 65.8%

Villarreal 14.47%

Draw 19.72%

Barcelona	Draw	Villarreal
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3% 5-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.41% Total : 65.8%	1-1 @ 9.36% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.45% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.47%