Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 34.2% | 27.29% | 38.52% |
| Both teams to score 49.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% | 55.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% | 76.8% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% | 30.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% | 66.96% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% | 28.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% | 63.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% |