Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 41.07% | 27.14% | 31.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% | 55.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% | 76.74% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% | 61.85% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% | 32.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.79% |