Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
| 30.94% | 26.87% | 42.19% |
| Both teams to score 50.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% | 54.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% | 76.07% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% | 69% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% | 25.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% | 60.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.19% |