Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
| 48.24% | 24.66% | 27.1% |
| Both teams to score 54.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% | 19.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% | 51.91% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.1% |