Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 36.9% | 24.78% | 38.31% |
| Both teams to score 58.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% | 67% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% | 23.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% | 58.03% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% | 23.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.31% |