Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 3-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 76.48% | 15.62% | 7.9% |
| Both teams to score 41.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.37% | 42.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% | 65.04% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.64% | 9.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.45% | 31.55% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.12% | 53.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.8% | 87.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 2-0 @ 14.15% 1-0 @ 11.95% 3-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 6.62% 4-1 @ 4.09% 5-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.27% 6-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.13% Total : 76.47% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 5.05% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.48% Total : 15.63% | 0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 2.29% 0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.53% Total : 7.9% |