/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Clement Lenglet
10'
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Lionel Messi
23'
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Luis Suarez
45'+1'
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Luis Suarez
90'+2'
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Lorenzo Insigne
45'+5'
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Piotr Zielinski
60'
Barcelona vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F27%2Flionel-messi.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F32%2Flionel-messi-barcelona.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F25%2Flionel-messi_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F27%2Fantoine-griezmann.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F07%2Fousmane-dembele.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Napoli win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
65.68%
Draw
18.37%
Napoli
15.95%
Both Teams to Score:
59.83%
Goals
Over 2.5
66.73%
Under 2.5
33.27%
Over 3.5
44.97%
Under 3.5
55.03%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
90.51%
Under 0.5
9.49%
Over 1.5
68.16%
Under 1.5
31.84%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
66.1%
Under 0.5
33.9%
Over 1.5
29.43%
Under 1.5
70.57%
Score analysis
Barcelona
65.68%
Draw
18.37%
Napoli
15.95%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.65%
2-0 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 7.58%
3-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 4.46%
4-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 1.94%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 65.68%
2-0 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 7.58%
3-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 4.46%
4-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 1.94%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 65.68%
Draw
1-1
@
8.2%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.22%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.37%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.22%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.37%
Napoli
1-2
@
4.43%
0-1 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 15.95%
0-1 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 15.95%
Head to Head
Arturo Vidal
89'
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F19%2Fkalidou-koulibaly_1.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F18%2F29%2Fcamp-nou-barcelona.jpg)