Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
3 - 1
Lazio

Fabian (9'), Insigne (54' pen.), Politano (90+2')
Koulibaly (15'), Rui (69'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Elmas (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Immobile (22')
Proto (70'), Immobile (72'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
45.17%	24.41%	30.43%

Both teams to score 57.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11%

19.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99%

52.01%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3%

27.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74%

63.26%

Score Analysis

Napoli 45.17%

Lazio 30.43%

Draw 24.41%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.17%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.43%

Serie A

Napoli3 - 1Lazio

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Napoli
3 - 1
Lazio