Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

Jul 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A encounter between Lazio and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
55.54%	23.69%	20.78%

Both teams to score 50.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42%

49.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39%

71.61%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3%

17.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.65%

48.35%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69%

38.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93%

75.07%

Score Analysis

Lazio 55.53%

Cagliari 20.78%

Draw 23.68%

Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.53% Total : 55.53%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.78%

Serie A

Lazio2 - 1Cagliari

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari