Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
| 45.89% | 25.07% | 29.04% |
| Both teams to score 54.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% | 70.42% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% | 53.88% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% | 66.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.05% |