Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta

Carboni (5'), Pisacane (44'), Nandez (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Muriel (27' pen.)
Luis Palomino (62'), Hateboer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
12.98%	15.81%	71.22%

Both teams to score 61.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.84%

27.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.3%

47.7%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44%

33.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79%

70.21%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.23%

6.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.98%

25.02%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 12.98%

Atalanta BC 71.22%

Draw 15.81%

Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.65% 1-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.79% 2-0 @ 1.36% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.38% Total : 12.98%	1-1 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 2.27% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.81%	1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 8.08% 0-3 @ 7.4% 0-1 @ 6.12% 1-4 @ 5.44% 0-4 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 4.41% 2-4 @ 2.97% 1-5 @ 2.93% 0-5 @ 2.68% 2-5 @ 1.6% 1-6 @ 1.31% 0-6 @ 1.2% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.79% Total : 71.22%

Serie A

Cagliari0 - 1Atalanta

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Cagliari
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Atalanta