Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 58.68% | 21.54% | 19.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% | 41.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% | 13.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% | 41.32% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% | 71.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.23% 4-0 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.77% |