Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 35.51% | 23.96% | 40.53% |
| Both teams to score 61.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% | 40.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% | 20.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% | 52.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.53% |