Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 48.35% | 23.92% | 27.73% |
| Both teams to score 57.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% | 43.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% | 66.37% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% | 18.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% | 49.42% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% | 29.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% | 65.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.5% Total : 48.36% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.36% Total : 27.73% |