Potential new EL header

Europa League

Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
 
Villarreal logo

Qarabag FK
1 - 3
Villarreal

Kwabena (78')
Romero (2'), Ozobic (13'), Andrade (39'), Huseynov (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pino (80'), Alcacer (85', 90+6' pen.)
Iborra (25')

The Match

Preview

Sport Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Villarreal, including pedictions, team news and possible starting lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawVillarreal
22.51%27.59%49.9%
Both teams to score 42.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07%61.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.32%81.68%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39%43.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2%79.8%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 22.51%
    Villarreal 49.89%
    Draw 27.58%
Qarabag FKDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 5.21%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.04%
3-2 @ 1%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.51%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 15.12%
0-2 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-3 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 4%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 49.89%