Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 38.32% | 27.23% | 34.46% |
| Both teams to score 50.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% | 55.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% | 28.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% | 63.71% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% | 30.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.45% |