Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 39.7% | 26.92% | 33.38% |
| Both teams to score 50.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.66% | 54.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% | 75.72% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% | 62.07% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.38% |