Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 37.18% | 27.34% | 35.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% | 55.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.12% | 76.88% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% | 29.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% | 66.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.48% |