Europa League
Dec 10, 2020 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Dec 3, 2020 5.55pm
Sivasspor 0 - 1 Villarreal

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Dec 3, 2020 5.55pm
Qarabag 1 - 1 M. Tel Aviv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 60.01%
Draw 23.21%
Qarabag FK 16.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.91%
Under 2.5 53.09%
Over 3.5 25.33%
Under 3.5 74.67%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 82.63%
Under 0.5 17.36%
Over 1.5 52.23%
Under 1.5 47.76%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 55.05%
Under 0.5 44.94%
Over 1.5 19.11%
Under 1.5 80.89%

Score analysis

Villarreal 60.01%
Draw 23.2%
Qarabag FK 16.78%
Villarreal
1-0 @ 13.66%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.58%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.2%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.37%
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.78%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 29, 2020 5.55pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jaime Romero 2' yellowcard
  • Filip Ozobic 13' yellowcard
  • Patrick Andrade 39' yellowcard
  • Owusu Kwabena 78' goal
  • Abbas Huseynov 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicente Iborra 25'
  • goal Yeremi Pino 80'
  • goal Paco Alcacer 85'
  • goal Paco Alcacer 90'+6'