Potential new EL header

Europa League

Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
 

Qarabag FK
1 - 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Romero (37')
Guerrier (21'), Matic (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cohen (22' pen.)
Hernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
39.21%27.41%33.38%
Both teams to score 49.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75%56.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71%77.29%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41%63.59%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04%67.95%
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 39.21%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 33.37%
    Draw 27.4%
Qarabag FKDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Qarabag FK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Qarabag FK
30.5%
Draw
20.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
48.7%
275