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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 8pm UK
Winner Stadium
Qarabag

Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 - 0
Qarabag FK

Cohen (10')
Saborit (28'), Cohen (45+2'), Antonio Guerrero Lozcano (73'), Rikan (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozobic (27'), Guerrier (30'), Andrade (64')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Qarabag FK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawQarabag FK
44.34%23.16%32.51%
Both teams to score 63.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21%37.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96%60.04%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51%17.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02%47.97%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07%56.93%
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 44.34%
    Qarabag FK 32.51%
    Draw 23.15%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.51%

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