Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
54.17% | 24.48% | 21.35% |
Both teams to score 49.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% | 52.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% | 19.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.19% | 50.81% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.86% | 39.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.15% | 75.85% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 57 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 17 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |