Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 54.17% | 24.48% | 21.35% |
| Both teams to score 49.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% | 52.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% | 19.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.19% | 50.81% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% | 39.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% | 75.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.35% |