Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match.